| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,160.06 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will reach the price target of $2,160.06 within a specified 15-minute measurement window. It matters because short intraday price targets are sensitive to rapid information flow and are used by traders to express views on near-term volatility.
Markets like this combine crypto spot price behavior with a fixed, short time horizon: a 15-minute interval in which the target price may be touched. Historical context: ETH has exhibited episodes of rapid moves driven by macro headlines, exchange flow, and on-chain events; short-window markets capture those intraday dynamics rather than longer-term trends. Because the close time for this specific market is listed as TBD on KALSHI, participants should check the official market page for the final timing and settlement definitions before trading.
Market odds represent the market-implied consensus about the chance that ETH will meet the $2,160.06 target during the designated 15-minute window and will update as new information arrives. Interpret them as a dynamic signal of near-term market sentiment and liquidity rather than a guarantee of outcome.
The outcome depends on KALSHI's settlement rules for this contract: typically it requires the reference spot price to meet or exceed the specified level within the identified 15-minute measurement interval. Consult the market's official contract text on KALSHI for the precise definition (e.g., whether a single trade, mid-price snapshot, or average is used).
The market page and contract terms on KALSHI should specify start and end times or the mechanism for selecting the 15-minute window; because the event currently shows 'Closes: TBD', traders must check the platform for the finalized schedule and any announcements about timing.
Whether a brief touch qualifies depends on the market's price source and settlement rule (e.g., whether it uses any tick, a time-weighted average, or an exchange-reported trade). Review the KALSHI contract settlement rules to see how transient price moves are treated.
Low volume can mean wider bid-ask spreads and greater sensitivity of the market price to individual orders; traders should be prepared for slippage, less reliable price discovery, and the possibility that odds will change sharply if liquidity enters the market.
High-impact items include sudden macro headlines, large exchange deposits or withdrawals, significant staking or exchange flow, major liquidations in margin markets, and unexpected protocol incidents or announcements — all can provoke rapid price moves within short intraday windows.