| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,158.95 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will reach the specific price target of $2,158.95 during a designated 15‑minute interval. Short‑interval price targets matter because they test intraday liquidity, order flow, and the market's ability to move through a precise level.
ETH is a highly liquid but volatile crypto asset whose minute‑to‑minute price can be driven by exchange order flow, derivatives activity, on‑chain events, and macroeconomic news. A 15‑minute target focuses attention on immediate market microstructure rather than longer‑term trends, so outcomes often reflect fast news, large trades, or short‑term technical dynamics. The platform source (KALSHI) will publish the exact settlement and data source rules for this market.
Prediction market prices aggregate trader beliefs about whether the target will be hit within the specified window; they change quickly as new information arrives and should be read as a snapshot of market consensus at any given time. For a very short horizon like 15 minutes, odds can swing rapidly with order‑book shifts or breaking news.
Outcome is determined by whether the reference ETH price reaches the specified level during the market's designated 15‑minute window, as measured by the platform's stated price feed or exchange data. The event's rules specify the exact data source, tick rules, and any rounding conventions used for settlement.
The 15‑minute window is the contiguous time interval during which the price will be checked; the market creator or platform will publish the window's start and end times. Because this listing currently shows 'Closes: TBD,' traders should monitor the event page for the announced interval and settlement schedule.
Trading closes at the time specified by the platform for this event; if no close time has been published yet, trading will remain open until the platform sets and announces the close. The market's event page or contract terms will indicate the cut‑off for entering positions.
Settlement typically uses the exchange(s) or aggregated index named in the event's rules; different sources can produce small timing or price differences, so check the market description to see whether a single exchange, an index, or a feed is authoritative for this contract.
Short, sharp drivers include large market orders or block trades, sudden derivatives liquidations, exchange outages or re‑lists, breaking news affecting crypto or macro sentiment, and on‑chain transfers that shift exchange inventory—each can push price through a targeted intraday level quickly.