| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,156.48 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will meet the $2,156.48 price target within a specific 15‑minute observation window defined by the listing. Short-interval price markets matter because they capture intraday liquidity events and order‑book dynamics that longer-term markets may smooth out.
Short-duration ETH price targets are driven by minute-to-minute order flow, derivatives liquidations, and sudden news or macro moves; they can resolve very differently from daily or weekly markets. KALSHI settles these event contracts using a designated price feed and observation rules, so understanding the data source and timing is essential. Because the market currently shows no traded volume and its close time is listed as TBD, traders should confirm settlement parameters before participating.
Prediction market odds represent the market’s real-time consensus about the outcome given available information and liquidity; they update as participants trade and new information arrives. Low volume or unclear settlement timing can make market odds less informative, so combine odds with knowledge of the settlement feed, observation window, and current market microstructure.
It indicates the contract’s outcome is determined by whether ETH reaches the specified price during a designated 15‑minute observation period; the exact start and end timestamps, and whether the market uses a single-tick or averaged price within that window, are defined in the event’s settlement rules on KALSHI.
Settlement depends on the market’s nominated price feed or exchange index and the sampling method (e.g., instantaneous tick vs. time-weighted average) listed on the event page; always check the event details to confirm which feed and methodology will be used.
The listing currently shows 'Closes: TBD', so the platform has not published the observation window start time; KALSHI typically posts the close and observation schedule before the event starts, so monitor the market page for updates and time-zone information.
Zero traded volume indicates no recent liquidity or price-formation activity; that can mean wider spreads, larger price impact for any trade, and that published odds may change materially if a single participant enters the market.
Short-window ETH targets are highly sensitive to microstructure events — flash rallies, exchange order imbalances, and immediate reactions to news — so outcomes can be unpredictable and driven by transient liquidity rather than sustained trends; review order-book snapshots and known scheduled announcements when forming a view.