| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,156.46 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will meet a specified $2,156.46 price condition measured over a 15-minute observation window. It matters because very short-duration price moves can trigger liquidations and affect high-frequency and event-driven trading strategies.
15-minute price-target markets focus on near-instantaneous drivers: exchange order-book imbalances, large block trades, derivatives liquidations, and breaking crypto or macro news. Historically, outcomes in such short windows are often determined by venue-specific liquidity and a small number of large orders rather than gradual market trends. The event will resolve according to the price feed and resolution rules published on the market page.
Market odds reflect the evolving consensus about whether the target condition will be met at the defined observation time and update as new information and order flow arrive. For short windows, odds can move rapidly in response to trades, news, and shifts in liquidity.
Resolution depends on the event's rulebook: the market will check the designated reference price at the defined 15-minute observation window and apply the market's stated condition for meeting the $2,156.46 target. Consult the market details on KALSHI for the precise resolution criterion and timestamp definition.
The market's opening/closing times and the exact timing of the 15-minute observation window are listed on the event page; currently the close time is TBD, so check the market for updates. Resolution happens after that defined 15-minute window ends.
The event specifies a particular exchange or aggregated price feed in its resolution rules; check the market's detailed description on KALSHI to identify the official source, since different feeds can show slightly different prices during volatile moves.
Most markets include fallback and dispute procedures in their rulebook—such as alternate feeds or manual adjudication—so review those resolution provisions on the event page. If a data issue occurs, the platform's specified resolution protocol will be used.
Because the window is short, spreads and slippage can materially affect execution: assess order-book depth, use limit orders to control fills, and account for trading fees and withdrawal times. Rapid price divergence across venues during volatile moments can also change realized outcomes versus displayed prices.