| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,155.59 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will meet a $2,155.59 price target in a 15-minute measurement window specified by the market. It matters because short, time-bound price targets are used by traders to express views on near-term volatility and event-driven moves in the crypto market.
Short-interval price markets like this capture rapid moves that can be driven by macro announcements, on-chain events, or concentrated trading flows. Ethereum price behavior is influenced by broader crypto liquidity, macro sentiment (rates, risk appetite), protocol-specific news (upgrades, staking flows), and large exchange order activity. Because the market closes and resolves based on precise timing and a defined price feed, small differences in measurement rules can change outcomes for tight targets.
Prediction market odds represent the market consensus about the likelihood of the event as defined by the market's rules; consult the market page for the exact resolution definition, price source, and settlement timing before trading.
The '15 min' indicates the event uses a specific 15-minute measurement window defined in the market rules; that window could be a fixed clock interval or a timestamped period chosen by the market creator. Check the market description on KALSHI for the precise start/end times, timezone, and whether the window is rolling or fixed.
Resolution depends on the market's outcome definition—some markets count any trade at or above the target during the window, others require the price to be strictly above or to close at that level. Review the market settlement rules on KALSHI to see whether 'touch', 'trade', or 'close' criteria apply and whether equality is inclusive.
'Closes: TBD' means the market currently has no publicly posted closing timestamp; KALSHI or the market creator will publish the specific resolution window and close time before or as part of the market's lifecycle. Monitor the market page and official announcements for the finalized close and settlement schedule.
The market's rules should specify the exchange, index, or composite price feed used for settlement; if that detail is not visible on the event page, consult the market documentation or contact KALSHI support to confirm the authoritative data source and any fallback procedures.
Market platforms typically have contingency rules—such as using a backup feed, applying a different exchange, or invoking force-majeure/resolution by committee—outlined in their settlement procedures. If an infrastructure problem affects the official feed for this market, KALSHI's stated dispute and resolution policies will determine how the event is settled; check those policies for specifics.