| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,154.95 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will meet a specific price target ($2,154.95) within a defined 15-minute interval. Short-interval price targets matter to traders who trade intraday volatility and to anyone assessing near-term market momentum.
Ether is a high-liquidity crypto asset whose price can move quickly on news, macro events, on-chain flows, and concentrated order flow. A 15-minute target isolates very short-term price action, so outcomes often hinge on intraday liquidity, exchange execution, and immediate reactions to news rather than longer-term fundamentals.
Prediction market prices represent the market’s aggregated view of whether the specified condition will occur; they update as new information arrives. For this event, interpret market prices as a real-time signal about the likelihood that ETH will reach the stated level during the specified 15-minute window, not as long-term valuation advice.
Resolution depends on the contract’s precise settlement language: some markets count any trade or quote that reaches or exceeds the target during the 15-minute window, others rely on a specific exchange’s midpoint or official price at a timestamp. Check the market’s settlement rules on the KALSHI event page to see the exact definition used for this market.
The market should list the start and end timestamps (often in UTC) for the 15-minute interval. Because this event currently shows 'Closes: TBD', the exact interval isn’t posted yet—monitor the KALSHI market page for the scheduled window and any updates.
KALSHI markets specify an authoritative data source and resolution method in the contract description; that source (a named exchange or an aggregated feed) is what the platform uses to determine the outcome. Consult the event’s details for the named feed or contact KALSHI support if it’s not listed.
Most contracts only require the specified condition to occur at least once during the interval, so multiple touches typically don't change the outcome beyond the first occurrence. Confirm the exact wording on the event page because some markets may use different rules (e.g., require a closing trade or a sustained level).
Contracts include fallback and dispute procedures for data outages or exchange halts; common outcomes include using alternative feeds, extending the window, or applying a predefined fallback timestamp. Review the market’s resolution policy and KALSHI’s dispute rules for how such situations are handled for this specific event.