| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,153.26 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether ETH will meet a $2,153.26 price target measured on a 15-minute resolution. It matters because short-interval, price-target markets highlight near-term volatility and microstructure risk for ETH traders and liquidity providers.
The contract ties an explicit dollar-level target to a short 15-minute measurement window, which makes settlement sensitive to intraday volatility, exchange-level prints, and data-source definitions. Markets like this are often used by traders to express views on imminent catalysts (news, order flow, liquidations) or to hedge very short-term exposure rather than long-term fundamentals.
Market odds summarize how participants are pricing the likelihood of that specific 15-minute target being reached, and they will update as new information arrives. Use odds as a real-time consensus signal, not a guarantee of outcome, and always check the contract resolution details before trading.
Settlement depends on the market's rulebook: it will specify the price source (an exchange, composite index, or feed) and how the 15-minute interval is defined. Consult the event's official contract page for the precise measurement and tie-break rules.
The event currently lists its close as TBD; the market will close at the time specified by KALSHI on the contract page, and outcome determination typically occurs after the referenced 15-minute interval and any verification window defined in the rules.
Whether a brief tick counts depends on the resolution method (for example, any trade within window, a time-weighted average, or the closing print). Check the contract's settlement definition to know which type of price movement qualifies.
The contract specifies the authoritative price feed or set of exchanges used for settlement; because feeds differ, review the event's rule section to see the exact sources and how discrepancies are handled.
Focus on execution risk and liquidity: use tight monitoring, consider limit orders to control slippage, be aware of the timing of news or large orders, and size positions according to the high volatility and rapid reversals that can occur within 15-minute windows.