| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,151.77 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the price of Ether (ETH) will meet a specified dollar target during a defined 15-minute measurement period. Short-duration price target markets matter because they highlight how momentary liquidity, news, and trading flows can produce rapid moves that affect traders and hedgers.
Ethereum is a highly traded, 24/7 global crypto asset whose minute-to-minute price is driven by order flow across many venues, derivatives activity, and on-chain events. Prediction markets like this one compress that information into a single question about a short time window; settlement depends on the contract’s specified reference price source and exact timing rules. The market currently shows no recorded trading volume, which can change as the event is scheduled and participants enter positions.
Market odds represent the consensus view of traders about whether the event’s settlement condition will be met, and they update as new information arrives; interpret odds as a real-time summary of market sentiment and liquidity rather than as a definitive forecast.
The event’s official settlement rules on KALSHI define the exact condition (for example, whether the reference price must touch, exceed, or close at the target during the 15‑minute window). Always consult the contract text on the market page for the precise trigger language.
KALSHI will publish the start and end times for the measurement window when the event is scheduled; until that scheduling is posted, the precise 15‑minute interval remains undefined and traders should watch the market page for updates.
The market’s settlement documentation lists the reference price provider(s) or index methodology used; it may be a single exchange, an aggregated index, or a specific data vendor—check the event’s rules for the definitive source.
Zero or low recorded volume indicates limited liquidity so far, which can produce wider spreads and make posted prices more sensitive to single trades; liquidity typically rises as the event is scheduled and attracts participants, but low volume should increase caution.
Rapid order-book pressure from large market orders or liquidations, sudden exchange outages or data-feed errors, breaking news headlines about regulation or security incidents, and coordinated pump‑and‑dump activity are the main catalysts that can change a 15‑minute outcome.