| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,150.74 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether ETH will hit the $2,150.74 price level within a specific 15‑minute measurement period. Short-interval price targets matter to traders who hedge, arbitrage, or speculate on very near‑term crypto price moves.
Ethereum is a highly liquid but volatile crypto asset; minute‑scale movements are driven by order flow, exchange liquidity, and algorithmic trading rather than fundamental news. Markets with very short measurement windows tend to reflect microstructure effects (order book depth, large market orders, or one-off spikes) more than longer‑term trends. The event is offered on KALSHI and will settle according to that platform's official price feed and rules.
Odds on this market reflect collective expectations about whether the specified price will be reached during the 15‑minute window and update as new information and order flow arrives. Treat short‑window markets as signals about immediate order‑book dynamics and market participant behavior rather than long‑term price outlooks.
Settlement is based on the ETH/USD reference price during the event's designated 15‑minute measurement period as provided by the market's official price feed; whether the target is considered reached depends on that recorded price data and the platform's published settlement rules.
The exact start and end timestamps for the 15‑minute window — and the market close time — are set by the event listing on KALSHI; if the page shows 'TBD' for close time, monitor the event page for the confirmed schedule and time zone details.
Whether a brief spike counts depends on whether that movement is captured by the market's official price feed and sampling method during the 15‑minute window; platforms differ in sampling frequency and aggregation rules, so check KALSHI's settlement methodology for specifics.
Yes; exchange outages, oracle failures, or other data‑feed disruptions can delay settlement or invoke contingency procedures described in the platform's event rules, including possible extensions, use of backup data sources, or adjudication by the market operator.
Immediate influencers include high‑frequency traders, market makers, large institutional or retail market orders (whales), and cross‑exchange arbitrageurs whose trades and liquidity provision determine short‑term price behavior during the 15‑minute window.