| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,150.04 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ethereum (ETH) will meet the $2,150.04 price target within a defined 15-minute interval; it matters to traders who want to hedge or speculate on very short-term ETH moves.
Ethereum is subject to high intraday volatility driven by macro data, crypto-specific news, and liquidity shifts on exchanges. Fifteen‑minute markets capture microstructure effects — large orders, sudden liquidations, and momentary exchange dislocations can determine outcome in a short window. Historical intraday ranges and recent volatility set the backdrop for how likely brief price touches are.
Prediction market prices aggregate participants' real-time views about whether the specified 15‑minute condition will be met; they update as new information arrives and should be read as a market-implied consensus rather than a guarantee.
It refers to a continuous 15-minute time span used to check whether the event's price condition is met; the event page and resolution rules on KALSHI specify whether a particular preset 15-minute interval is used or whether any qualifying 15-minute period during the market's life counts.
Resolution follows the reference price source and rule stated on the event page (for example, an exchange trade price or consolidated feed and whether the condition is 'at or above' the target). Always consult the event's official resolution text on KALSHI for the authoritative method.
Common catalysts are concentrated large trades, abrupt swings from macro announcements, cascading futures liquidations, sudden on-chain developments, or exchange-specific order-book imbalances that create brief price spikes or drops.
Monitor live exchange price feeds and order-book depth on major venues, watch derivatives metrics (open interest, funding rates), follow real-time crypto news and social channels for breaking events, and track large on-chain ETH transfers and exchange inflows.
If close is TBD, the market remains open until KALSHI posts a specific close and resolution window; the posted close and resolution details will define which 15-minute intervals are eligible, so check the event page for updates and size positions with that pending timeline in mind.