| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,149.74 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will reach the quoted target price within a specified 15‑minute interval on the KALSHI platform. Short intraday targets matter because they capture rapid price moves driven by high‑frequency trading, news, and on‑chain flows that can create trading and hedging opportunities.
Ether is a highly liquid but volatile crypto asset whose short‑term moves reflect a mix of macro risk appetite, spot order‑book flows, derivatives positioning, and on‑chain activity from DeFi and large holders. Events such as macroeconomic announcements, sudden large exchange flows or liquidations, and major protocol or ecosystem news can produce sharp intraday spikes or drops that determine outcomes for a 15‑minute target market.
Odds on this market represent the market’s current consensus about the likelihood of ETH touching the specified price within the stated 15‑minute window and will update as new information arrives. Because the window is short, odds can move quickly in response to order‑book activity, news, or changes in liquidity and volatility.
Resolution will follow the official KALSHI market rules for this contract; the platform specifies the authoritative price feed or index and how timestamps are recorded. Consult the market’s resolution details on the event page for the precise feed and time‑alignment policy used to determine a hit.
If the close time is TBD, KALSHI will publish the scheduled interval and trading window before the market begins. The event page, contract terms, and platform announcements will state the exact start time of the 15‑minute window and any pre‑trade deadlines.
Whether a transient tick counts depends on the contract’s definition of 'reach' in the resolution rules—some contracts resolve on any price equal to or above the target at any timestamp inside the window, while others require specific conditions. Check the contract terms on the event page to confirm the exact resolution condition.
Common drivers include sudden macro announcements, major exchange inflows/outflows or whale trades, forced liquidations in derivatives markets, large on‑chain movements or protocol news, and shifts in market‑maker or algorithmic liquidity provisioning.
KALSHI’s contingency and dispute resolution policies govern feed outages or conflicting quotes; these typically specify fallback data sources, averaging methods, or an administrative process for final determination. Review the platform’s resolution procedures and dispute policy for details on how ambiguous situations are handled.