| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,147.58 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will meet the $2,147.58 price target as measured over a specified 15-minute interval on Kalshi. It matters because very short-duration price outcomes highlight liquidity, order flow, and event-driven volatility in crypto markets.
Ether is a globally traded, highly liquid cryptocurrency whose minute-to-minute price reflects activity across spot venues, derivatives, and on‑chain flows. Fifteen‑minute target markets are influenced more by market microstructure and transient events than by long‑term fundamentals; past short-window moves have often been driven by exchange outages, large liquidations, or sudden news. Because this market closes on a precise short interval, timing and the designated reference feed are critical to outcome determination.
Interpret market odds as the collective, real‑time assessment of whether the market’s specified price condition will be met during the defined 15‑minute window; odds change as new trades, order flow, and information arrive.
Resolution follows the market’s published rules on Kalshi: the outcome is determined by the reference ETH price observed over the exact 15‑minute interval defined on the market page. Check that page to see whether resolution is based on any trade/quote during the window, an end‑of‑window reading, or an average, and which data source is used.
The scheduled start time for the 15‑minute interval is listed on the Kalshi market page; final settlement is posted after the window closes once Kalshi verifies the reference data according to its settlement procedures, so publication timing may vary.
The specific data source(s) used for settlement are specified in the market’s resolution clause on Kalshi; some markets use a single exchange feed while others use a consolidated index—always consult the market description to know which applies here.
Whether a brief touch qualifies depends on the market’s resolution definition: some markets count any trade/quote that reaches or exceeds the threshold inside the interval, while others require an end‑of‑window or averaged reading. Verify the precise condition in the market’s rules.
Events that typically move sub‑hour ETH targets include concentrated large trades or whale activity, sudden liquidation cascades on derivatives platforms, exchange outages or feed errors, major macro headlines, and sudden on‑chain stress such as smart‑contract exploits or large stablecoin flows.