| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,146.54 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will reach the price target of $2,146.54 within a specific 15-minute interval as defined by the event. Short intraday targets matter because 15-minute windows capture high-frequency moves that can be driven by spikes in liquidity, news, or large orders.
Ether is traded across many venues and is subject to high intraday volatility; short-window markets like this reflect minute-by-minute supply and demand rather than long-term fundamentals. Drivers include macro sentiment, crypto-specific news, exchange flows, derivatives positioning, and on-chain activity; all can cause rapid moves within a single quarter-hour. Because exchange feeds and resolution rules vary, the exact mechanics of how the price is observed and reported are central to understanding outcomes.
Market odds are a live measure of collective trader expectations for this specific 15-minute outcome and will move as new information arrives; treat them as a snapshot of sentiment and liquidity rather than a prediction guarantee. Review the market’s resolution rules and the liquidity available in the market before acting on the displayed odds.
It refers to the specific fifteen-minute interval used to evaluate whether ETH reached the target price according to the market’s resolution rules; the exact start and end timestamps and how they are determined are specified by the event organizer and should be checked on the market page.
Resolution typically relies on a designated price feed or set of exchanges and a defined observation method (e.g., last trade, midpoint, or consolidated index) over the 15-minute window; consult the event’s resolution criteria to see which data source and rule will be used.
Yes—if the market relies on a single exchange or an unaggregated feed, a flash spike or outage on that venue can determine the observed price; if the market uses an aggregated index, a single-venue spike is less likely to dominate resolution.
TBD means the organizer has not fixed the final trading or resolution schedule yet; traders should monitor the market for updates and read the official rules for how and when the event will be scheduled and settled.
Look at intraday price charts with 1–5 minute candles around similar price levels, measure past frequency of 15-minute crossovers, review order-book depth at the target across major venues, and note periods of elevated volatility or past news-driven spikes that produced rapid moves.