| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,144.77 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ethereum (ETH) will reach the $2,144.77 price level during a specified 15-minute interval on KALSHI. Short-interval contracts like this matter for traders who want to express views about very near-term price moves or hedge short-term execution risk.
Ethereum is a highly liquid but volatile crypto asset; minute-scale moves can be driven by exchange order flow, macro headlines, or on-chain events. Contracts tied to a 15-minute window are influenced more by market microstructure and momentary liquidity than by longer-term fundamentals. Because the event closes TBD, participants should monitor the event page for the precise timing and resolution rules.
Market prices on the contract reflect the collective view of traders about whether the target will be reached during the designated 15-minute window and will update as new information arrives. Interpreting those prices as a probability requires understanding the contract's resolution source and the time remaining before the resolution window.
Resolution depends on the contract's published rules and the price feed(s) KALSHI designates for settlement; check the event page for the specific definition (for example whether a trade, quote, or midpoint reaching the level during the 15-minute window qualifies).
The event page will specify the start time and time zone for the 15-minute window; because the event currently shows 'closes: TBD', monitor the listing for an announced start time and any platform notifications.
KALSHI will list the official price source(s) on the event page; settlement typically relies on a specific exchange feed or aggregated reference price, so confirm which one is used for this contract before trading.
Yes, a single large trade can move the reported price in a short window and affect resolution; whether that trade counts depends on the contract's settlement rules (e.g., whether trades, quotes, or filtered data are used), so review those rules to understand how outliers are handled.
KALSHI will update the event listing with the official trading close and resolution schedule; the platform may also send announcements or notifications, so check the event page and any platform messages for the final timeline and settlement details.