| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,140.70 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the Ethereum (ETH) price will meet the $2,140.70 target within a designated 15-minute measurement window. Short-window, price-target markets matter because they test immediate market dynamics and can swing quickly on orders, news, or liquidity events.
Ethereum is a highly traded crypto asset whose price reflects on-chain activity, exchange order books, macro risk sentiment, and derivatives positioning. Intraday and intraminute volatility can be large when liquidity is thin or when major events (exchanges, protocol upgrades, macro announcements) occur. Markets like this translate those short-term dynamics into a binary outcome traded by participants.
Odds on this market are the market’s aggregated view of how likely participants think the target will be met during the specified 15-minute interval; they update in real time as new information arrives and as traders buy or sell exposure.
A 'Yes' outcome depends on the market’s official settlement definition: typically the event resolves as affirmative if the platform’s chosen official price measure reaches the $2,140.70 level at any time during the defined 15-minute measurement interval. Consult the market’s settlement rules for precise matching, tie, and aggregation conventions.
The start time or allowed intervals are determined by the market’s rules or by the platform at settlement; since this market’s close is listed as TBD, check the market page or platform announcements for the exact measurement timestamp before trading or as settlement approaches.
The platform (KALSHI in this case) specifies the official price source in the market’s settlement documentation; it may use a single exchange print, an index, or an aggregated feed. Review the market’s settlement details to confirm which feed will be used.
Because the window is only 15 minutes, any news released immediately before or during that interval—exchange outages, protocol messages, large token transfers, or macro beats/misses—can trigger sharp moves or spikes that push price to the target. The short timeframe also makes the market more sensitive to temporary liquidity gaps and algorithmic flows.
Low historical on-market volume implies wider spreads and that individual orders can materially move quoted odds. If you plan to trade, consider order size relative to market depth, prefer limit orders if available, and read platform rules on fees and settlement to manage slippage and execution risk.