| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,139.60 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will hit the price target of $2,139.60 within a specified 15-minute interval. Short-interval price targets matter for traders who need to hedge or speculate on high-frequency price moves and for measuring market microstructure risk.
ETH is a liquid but often volatile crypto asset whose price reacts quickly to macro data, exchange flows, on-chain activity, and major news. Fifteen-minute target markets focus on intraday dynamics and can be sensitive to rapid order flows, exchange-specific prints, and scheduled events such as protocol upgrades or economic releases. Because the interval is short, outcomes can hinge on brief spikes or microstructure effects rather than longer-term trends.
Market odds for this event represent the collective, real-time view about whether ETH will reach the $2,139.60 level within the market's defined 15-minute window; they change as information arrives. Use them as a live consensus signal, and always cross-check the event's settlement rules before trading or hedging.
The event resolves according to the platform's settlement rules: if the specified reference price feed and resolution method register ETH at the target level during the defined 15-minute interval (or per the snapshot rule), the outcome is 'yes.' Consult the market's official rule page for the precise resolution condition.
The platform specifies the exact 15-minute windows and timezone/alignment used for the market (for example, clock-quarter intervals or a custom timestamp). Check the event page or market rules for the definitive interval definition.
Settlement uses a KALSHI-defined reference price feed or index—details (which exchanges or oracles are used) are listed in the market's settlement documentation. Because this is a short-interval market, the chosen sources can materially affect the result.
That depends on whether the market resolves off tick-level trade data or discrete timed snapshots/averages. A very brief touch may count under tick-based resolution but may not under snapshot-based or averaged methods—review the market's resolution methodology to know which case applies.
The event currently lists 'Closes: TBD'; the platform will announce a closing time and the exact settlement timestamp. Monitor the event page and official platform notices for the close and for the subsequent published resolution and settlement details.