| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,139.49 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will meet the $2,139.49 price target during a single, specified 15-minute interval. It matters because short, sharp moves can determine settlement and reflect near-term volatility and liquidity conditions in the crypto market.
Ether's price is driven by a mix of macroeconomic news, crypto-specific developments (network upgrades, staking flows, NFT/DeFi activity), and trading dynamics such as large orders or liquidation cascades. Historical 15-minute moves can be large during periods of low liquidity or high news flow, so 15-minute window markets isolate short-term execution and price-source risk. This market will settle according to the exchange or index specified in the event contract, so small differences across price feeds can change outcomes.
Prediction market prices represent the market view of whether the event condition will be met, not guaranteed outcomes; interpret them as a consensus indicator of short-term risk rather than an absolute forecast. Always consult the event's settlement rules for the precise definition of the measurement window and reference price.
The market will resolve according to its settlement rules: typically the reference price must meet or exceed the stated target during the designated 15-minute measurement interval. Check the event’s official contract text for the exact operator (≥ vs >) and any tie-break rules.
The event contract or market page will specify whether the interval start time is fixed up front, chosen at random, or determined by another rule; consult the market details on KALSHI for the authoritative timeline and any publication of the measurement window.
Settlement uses the price source named in the market’s settlement specifications; different markets use different exchanges or index providers, so read the event details to see which feed will be authoritative for resolution.
Rapid moves often stem from macro surprises, major exchange liquidations, large OTC block trades, breaking crypto-specific news (exploits, regulatory announcements), or very thin liquidity in off-peak hours, any of which can push prices across short-term thresholds.
Track the official settlement feed listed in the contract alongside major exchange tickers, set real-time alerts around the target level, monitor order-book depth and open interest in derivatives, and factor in potential feeding/latency differences when sizing positions.