| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,139.12 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tests whether Ether (ETH) will meet a $2,139.12 price target within a specified 15-minute interval. Short-interval markets matter because they isolate minute-scale price moves and can be sensitive to liquidity, news, and order flow.
Short-window crypto contracts like this let traders express views on very specific, time-bound price action rather than longer-term trends. Ether’s price is driven by a mix of on-chain activity, centralized exchange liquidity, derivative market positioning, and macro headlines; rapid moves often reflect an interplay of those factors. Because the market closes and settles according to the platform’s published rules and price source, users should confirm settlement mechanics before trading.
Market odds represent the aggregate view of participants about the likelihood of the target being met during the designated 15-minute window and will shift in real time as new information and order flow arrive. Use them as a live sentiment and liquidity signal, not as a guaranteed outcome.
It denotes a market tied to whether ETH reaches the $2,139.12 price level during a specific 15-minute window. The event’s page and rulebook specify the exact window and settling mechanism.
The closing time is set by the platform and will be posted on the event page; settlement occurs after the market closes according to KALSHI’s published timing and price-source rules.
The market resolves using the price feed or index provider specified by the platform for this event; consult the event details to confirm the official price source and any aggregation method.
That depends on the settlement method defined on the event page—some markets use any trade/tick, others use a high/low, or a time-weighted average (TWAP); check the event rules to see which applies here.
Sudden liquidity imbalances from large exchange orders, derivative-driven flows (large futures or options hedging), exchange outages or maintenance, and breaking news are the primary drivers of minute-scale price jumps.