| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,138.65 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will hit the $2,138.65 price level within a specified 15-minute interval. It matters because short time-window price targets capture intraday volatility and are used by traders to hedge or speculate on high-frequency price moves.
Ethereum is an actively traded digital asset with frequent intraday swings driven by liquidity, macro news, and on-chain developments. Short-window targets like this reflect the intersection of market microstructure (order flow, liquidity) and news flow rather than longer-term fundamentals. Historical intraday behavior shows that exact-price targets can be reached briefly even in otherwise stable sessions, so settlement rules and price feeds matter a lot.
Market odds on this contract aggregate traders' views about the likelihood of ETH touching the specified price within any qualifying 15-minute window and update as new information arrives. Interpret odds as the market's evolving consensus subject to changes in liquidity, news, and technical conditions.
A winning outcome requires the contract's defined price feed to register ETH at the specified level within a qualifying 15-minute interval according to the market's official settlement rules; consult the event's contract terms on KALSHI for the precise resolution language and any tie-breakers.
The event's contract specifies whether windows are sliding or aligned to fixed clock boundaries and the market's active trading period; check the KALSHI event page or rules for the exact window alignment and the market open/close times.
Resolution depends on the designated reference price or index named in the event contract—often an aggregated exchange index; the event page and rulebook list the authoritative feed used for settlement.
Whether a very brief tick counts depends on the contract's measurement method (trade vs. quote, minimum duration, and data granularity); review the event's settlement criteria to see if single trades or quotes are sufficient.
Examine recent intraday high/low ranges, minute-level price bars, order-book snapshots at nearby exchanges, scheduled news or on-chain events, and historical frequency of brief price touches at similar targets to gauge how often such intraday hits occur.