| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,136.80 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This event asks whether Ether (ETH) will trade at the target price of $2,136.80 within a specified 15-minute window. It matters because short-duration, price-target markets test near-term liquidity and the impact of immediate news or order-book events on ETH price.
ETH is a highly liquid but volatile crypto asset whose short-term price is driven by exchange order books, derivatives flows, and on-chain events. Brief spikes or dips can be caused by large trades, liquidations, exchange outages, or time-sensitive news releases. For ultra-short windows, microstructure and which data feed is used for settlement are especially important.
Market prices for this event represent traders' aggregated assessments of whether the target will be hit in that 15-minute window and will move as new information, orders, and liquidity arrive. Always consult the event's settlement rules and designated reference feed to understand what counts as a qualifying price.
A hit occurs if the settlement source records a trade or price at $2,136.80 (or meets the event's stated price criterion) during the specified 15-minute window; consult the event's settlement rules for the authoritative definition and allowed feeds.
The event page or creator should list the precise start and end timestamps; if the start is listed as TBD, follow the event page for updates—settlement will use timestamps from the designated reference feed during that announced 15-minute interval.
Settlement depends on the event's specified reference(s)—often a single exchange or an aggregated index—so review the event's documentation to see which venue(s) count and how discrepancies are handled.
Yes—if a qualifying trade at the target price is recorded on the settlement feed within the window, it typically counts; some events may use time-weighted or mid-price rules instead, so verify the exact settlement methodology.
Zero traded volume means no positions have been placed yet and market pricing may not reflect broad participant views; low pre-event liquidity can lead to wider spreads and larger price moves during the window, so monitor for initial activity and any posted start time.