| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,136.43 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will meet a specific $2,136.43 price target within a 15-minute observation period. Short-interval contracts matter because they isolate brief price moves and are sensitive to rapid news and liquidity shifts.
Short-duration crypto contracts focus on intra-minute or intra-quarter-hour price behavior rather than multi-day trends; traders use them to express views on immediate volatility or to hedge very short-term exposure. Ethereum’s price over 15 minutes can be driven by order flow, liquidations, or sudden news, making these contracts distinct from longer-term ETH markets. The market is hosted on KALSHI and will follow the platform’s published resolution rules and data sources.
Market odds on the platform reflect real-time consensus about whether the contract’s resolution conditions will be met and can change rapidly as new information arrives. To interpret any quote, consult the event page for the exact resolution criteria, data feed, and observation window timing.
It identifies a contract tied to ETH reaching the specified price within a 15-minute observation period; the precise resolution rule (for example whether reaching, exceeding, or closing at the level counts) and the timing conventions are defined on the event page and in the contract terms on KALSHI.
The event page lists the closing time and resolution schedule; since this listing currently shows 'Closes: TBD', monitor the KALSHI contract page for an announced close time and for the expected resolution window and timing.
The contract’s official data source and exchange references are specified on the event page; consult that section to see whether a consolidated index, a specific exchange price, or a proprietary feed will be used for resolution.
Different contracts use different rules: some check whether the target is hit at any moment within the contiguous 15-minute interval, others use an end-of-window price or a time-sampled feed. Check the event’s resolution clause on KALSHI to know which method applies.
Large taker orders, concentrated liquidation cascades, high-frequency trading, low liquidity on specific venues, and unexpected news releases occurring shortly before or during the window are the main drivers; exchange outages or atypical feed errors can also affect short-interval outcomes.