| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,136.14 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will reach the $2,136.14 price target within a specified 15‑minute measurement window. Short‑term, minute‑scale markets matter because they capture intraday volatility that affects traders, hedgers, and algorithmic strategies.
Ethereum is a liquid but volatile crypto asset whose price can move significantly over very short timeframes in response to liquidity shifts, news, or large on‑chain flows. Intraday moves are driven by a mix of macro headlines, exchange order flow, derivatives expiries, and network or smart‑contract events; this market isolates a single 15‑minute interval against a fixed price level. The market is listed on KALSHI, which publishes the market rules and resolution source on the event page.
Prediction market odds here represent the aggregated beliefs of participants about whether the target will be met during the 15‑minute window and will update as new information arrives; they are an expression of market sentiment, not a guarantee of outcome.
Resolution will depend on whether ETH's traded price meets the market's defined condition during the specified 15‑minute window, using the price feed or exchange source listed in the market rules on the event page; consult that page for the precise resolution method.
The market close and the exact 15‑minute measurement start time are listed on the event page; if the close is shown as TBD, the platform will publish the scheduled window and timezone there once set.
The specific exchange(s) or consolidated price index used for settlement are specified in the market's rules on the KALSHI event page; check that source before trading to understand how the observed price is determined.
Look at historical 15‑minute return distributions, recent patterns in order‑book depth at nearby price levels, and past episodes of fast moves around news events; those show how often ETH can cross similar price thresholds in short windows.
Monitor live order‑book depth and trade prints at major exchanges, on‑chain large transfers to/from exchange addresses, imminent macro or crypto news, open interest and funding changes in derivatives, and any reported exchange outages—these signals often presage short‑term price accelerations.