| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,133.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will reach the target price of $2,133.99 within a specific 15-minute window. Short, high-resolution price questions matter to traders who use intraday moves for execution, hedging, or arbitrage.
Ether is a highly traded crypto asset subject to rapid moves from on‑chain flows, exchange order books, derivatives activity, and macro headlines. Markets framed around a narrow 15‑minute interval emphasize transient liquidity and microstructure effects rather than longer‑term fundamentals. The market’s close and exact timing are set by the platform listing (Closes: TBD), so follow the event page for timing updates.
Market prices for this contract reflect participants’ aggregated expectations about whether the target will be met during that 15‑minute window and will change as new information arrives. They are inputs for decision‑making, not guarantees of an outcome; low liquidity or low volume can make prices less informative.
Resolution follows the platform’s specified price source and rules: typically any trade or official index value at or above the stated price during the defined 15‑minute window will be counted. Consult the market rules on the event page for exact resolution language and tie‑breaking.
The window is a contiguous 15‑minute interval whose start time and closing procedures are set by the market listing. Because this market shows 'Closes: TBD', participants should watch the event page or platform notifications for the posted start/close schedule.
The specific exchange(s) or aggregated index used for settlement are listed in the market’s resolution details on KALSHI; always check that section to know which venue(s) and which quoting conventions will be used.
Yes. A sufficiently large market order on the venues used for resolution can move the reported price and satisfy the condition during the window. That is why short‑window markets are sensitive to market‑microstructure and potential manipulation risks, and why platforms maintain dispute/contingency rules.
If a covered outage or data‑feed anomaly affects the resolution feed, the platform’s contingency procedures apply: they may use alternate feeds, delay resolution, or invoke a dispute process per the market terms. Check the event’s resolution and dispute policy on KALSHI for specifics.