| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,133.43 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will hit a USD price target of $2,133.43 within a defined 15‑minute measurement period. It matters because short intraday price moves are driven by liquidity and catalysts, and markets like this let traders express views on immediate price action.
Intraday target markets focus on very short windows of price action rather than longer-term fundamentals. ETH is subject to high intraday volatility driven by order‑book dynamics, leverage in derivatives, macro headlines, and exchange flows; historical short‑interval moves can be large relative to longer timeframes. Because the market closes and resolves on a specific 15‑minute window, timing and the precise settlement rules matter more than longer‑term trends.
Prediction market prices represent the market consensus about the likelihood of the outcome at that moment and can change rapidly as order flow and news arrive. They are not guarantees; consult the platform’s official settlement rules to understand exactly how this specific contract resolves.
The market resolves based on ETH price behavior within a specific 15‑minute measurement period defined by the platform; check the event’s resolution rules on KALSHI to see whether the contract looks at the opening, closing, a time‑weighted average, or any tick within that window.
The listing shows the close time as TBD; KALSHI will publish the official start and end times for the 15‑minute measurement on the market page. Watch the event page or platform notifications for the definitive schedule.
Resolution follows the price source or index specified in KALSHI’s settlement rules for this contract; that source may consolidate multiple exchanges or rely on a single reference—refer to the market’s official documentation for the exact feed used.
Zero or very low traded volume means there has been little market participation so far, which can lead to wider spreads and less informative prices; it does not change how the contract is settled, but it does imply limited price discovery until more orders enter.
Short‑window crosses are most often triggered by large exchange trades or block trades, rapid liquidation cascades in derivatives markets, sudden regulatory or macro headlines, exchange outages or outages recovery, and large coordinated OTC activity.