| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,133.27 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will reach a trading price of $2,133.27 within a defined 15-minute observation window. It matters because it lets traders express and hedge views on very short‑term ETH price moves and liquidity events.
ETH is a highly liquid but volatile crypto asset; short intraday windows isolate transient price behavior driven by order flow rather than long‑term fundamentals. Fifteen‑minute targets are sensitive to large market orders, derivatives liquidations, exchange-specific events, and breaking news, so outcomes can be noisy and fast‑moving.
Market odds summarize participants’ consensus about the chance this specific price event will occur in the stated 15‑minute window — they are a live, collective view, not certainties. Because the window is brief, odds and prices can change rapidly as new information or large trades arrive.
The precise resolution condition (e.g., any trade/tick at or above the target versus a last‑price or close requirement) is defined in the event's settlement rules on the platform. Review the event's resolution criteria on the KALSHI event page to know which condition applies.
The platform will specify the exact start and end timestamps (including time zone) for the 15‑minute window on the event page. If the timings are listed as TBD, monitor the event page for the announced window before trading or assuming coverage.
The event's rules should list the official price source(s) used for settlement (for example a specific exchange or an aggregated feed). If the event page does not name them, consult the platform's documentation or support for the feed used to resolve this market.
Different contracts treat ticks differently: some count any single trade/tick at or above the target during the window, others require a sustained level or a closing price. Check the event's settlement definition; if unclear, contact KALSHI support for clarification before trading.
Platforms typically have fallback and dispute procedures (use a secondary feed, extend verification time, or invoke manual resolution). The exact contingency and timing for settlement will be in the platform's market resolution policy—review that policy or the event notes for the authoritative procedure.