| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,129.65 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether ETH will reach the specific price target of $2,129.65 during a defined 15-minute window; it matters to traders who want to speculate on or hedge very short-term Ethereum price moves.
Fifteen-minute target markets isolate intraday volatility and are sensitive to minute-by-minute order flow, news, and exchange mechanics. Ethereum's short-term price action is driven by macro crypto sentiment, large trades or liquidations, and protocol- or ecosystem-specific events; participants should review the event's settlement rules on KALSHI for the authoritative resolution method.
Market odds on this event represent the aggregated expectations of participants about whether that price will be hit within the stated 15-minute window and update as new information arrives; interpret them as conditional, real-time market views rather than guarantees.
The event resolves according to the settlement rules published on the event page; typically the designated price feed is checked against the target during the specified 15-minute window and the outcome is determined per the platform's inequality and timing definitions—consult the event details for the exact resolution language.
The precise start and end timestamps for the 15-minute window are listed on the event page or in the event's resolution rules; if the page shows 'Closes: TBD' wait for KALSHI to publish the scheduled settlement time or updates.
The authoritative price source is specified in the event's settlement documentation on KALSHI and may be an aggregated index or a single exchange feed; always check that section before trading to know which feed governs resolution.
Rapid price moves that can trigger a 15-minute target include large market orders or block trades, concentrated liquidation events in margin/derivatives markets, sudden regulatory or macro headlines, and exchange outages or maintenance that alter liquidity.
The event's contingency and fallback procedures—published in the settlement rules—govern such scenarios; platforms commonly specify alternate feeds, lookback windows, or dispute processes, so review those rules to understand how feed disruptions would be handled.