| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,126.01 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will meet a $2,126.01 price target within a specified 15-minute interval. Short-duration markets like this matter because they isolate very near-term price moves that can be driven by sudden news, order flow, or technical events.
Ether's price is influenced by macroeconomic news, crypto-specific developments, and liquidity on exchanges; 15-minute windows emphasize intraday volatility rather than long-term fundamentals. KALSHI-style event contracts translate those intraday dynamics into an explicit, time-bound question that settles against an external price feed or index. Traders often use such markets to hedge or speculate on immediate moves around scheduled events or unexpected shocks.
Market odds on this contract represent the crowd's real-time synthesis of available information about this specific 15-minute outcome and will move as news or order flow changes. Use them as a signal about market sentiment for this narrowly defined interval, not as a guarantee of future price behavior.
The event's settlement rules specify the exact start and end times and the timestamp convention (for example, a fixed UTC-aligned window or a window tied to the platform clock). Consult the event details on KALSHI for the definitive wording that governs which 15-minute interval is used.
Settlement uses the data source or index named in the event description; if multiple sources or fallbacks are specified, those are used per the platform's documented settlement policy. Check the event page for the named feed and the platform’s settlement documentation for fallback rules.
The resolution condition (whether touching, exceeding, or meeting the target counts) is defined in the contract terms on the event page. Read the settlement criteria carefully to know whether equality or only crossing the threshold triggers the outcome.
In the event of feed errors or outages, KALSHI's contingency and dispute procedures apply; the platform may use alternate feeds, apply pre-defined fallbacks, delay settlement, or open a dispute resolution process according to its rules. Refer to the platform’s emergency and dispute policy for details.
No — settlement is determined by the external price data and the event's contractual rules, not by how much volume the market has on the platform. Low volume does affect liquidity for traders but does not change the objective settlement mechanics.