| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,120.47 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will reach the specified $2,120.47 target within a 15‑minute measurement window. Short, time‑bound targets like this matter because they isolate immediate price action and liquidity-driven moves rather than longer-term trends.
Ethereum (ETH) is a highly liquid and volatile crypto asset whose minute‑by‑minute price can be influenced by exchange order flow, large trades, and breaking news. Events such as exchange listings/delistings, major on‑chain transfers, macro announcements, or technical issues on major venues can produce sharp moves that determine outcomes in short‑duration markets.
Market odds reflect the collective expectations of participants and update as new information arrives; for a 15‑minute target, odds will be especially sensitive to order book dynamics, trade flow, and near‑term news rather than longer-term fundamental shifts.
It means the event will be resolved based on whether ETH reaches (or exceeds, per event rules) the $2,120.47 price level within a specified 15‑minute measurement interval; consult the event page for the precise definition of 'reach' and the timestamp protocol.
Settlement will follow the reference price and timestamp method listed in the event’s official rules on KALSHI—typically a specific exchange or aggregated feed at the designated interval—so verify the event page for the exact price source and resolution procedure.
A 'TBD' close means the market remains open until KALSHI publishes a closing time; traders should monitor the event page and platform notifications because the close will determine the final window during which the 15‑minute measurement applies.
Whether a brief spike counts depends on the event’s resolution rules and the price feed snapshot method; some events use continuous ticks while others use periodic snapshots, so check the resolution criteria on the event page to know how transient moves are treated.
Likely catalysts include large exchange or OTC trades, sudden exchange downtime or restorations, high‑impact news releases (exchange announcements, legal/regulatory actions), and rapid on‑chain transfers to/from exchanges that change available liquidity.