| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,118.89 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will reach the stated $2,118.89 target within a defined 15‑minute interval. Short, minute‑scale targets matter because they isolate immediate volatility and microstructure events that longer horizons smooth over.
ETH is traded across many venues with high intraday volatility driven by macro news, crypto‑native events, and order‑book dynamics; minute‑level moves can be large even when daily trends are muted. Markets like this attract traders who want to express views on near‑term flows, hedge execution risk, or trade event‑driven micro‑price moves.
Odds on this market represent the aggregated views of participants about whether the contract’s resolution condition will be met during the specified 15‑minute window; they update in real time as information and liquidity change and should be treated as a market signal, not a guarantee.
The event’s settlement clause specifies whether the market uses a fixed 15‑minute window (with a published start time) or allows any rolling 15‑minute interval; consult the official contract details on the platform for the exact start/end times and timezone.
The contract’s resolution rules name the reference price source or aggregation method used for settlement; check the event page on KALSHI to see which exchange(s) or index the market relies on.
'TBD' means the platform has not yet published the market’s official resolution schedule; you should monitor the market page for an announced resolution timestamp before trading if the timing matters to your strategy.
Contingency procedures vary by contract: typical outcomes include using an alternative feed, applying a data‑cleaning rule, or delaying resolution; the event’s rules will state the fallback procedures the platform will follow.
Yes — minute‑scale targets are sensitive to market microstructure. A large market order, concentrated liquidity, or forced liquidations can produce transient price moves that meet or miss the target; assess venue depth and recent trade sizes when forming a view.