| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,116.21 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will reach the price target of $2,116.21 within a single 15-minute interval. Short-window price markets matter because they isolate very short-term volatility and the impact of immediate news or order-flow events.
Ether is a highly traded, liquid crypto asset whose price is driven by macro news, on-chain activity, derivatives flows, and concentrated order-book events. A 15-minute target focuses on market microstructure — sudden spikes, liquidations, or exchange-specific trades — rather than longer-term fundamental trends. Because the closing window is short, transient events and execution timing play outsized roles.
Market odds represent the crowd’s current assessment of whether the specified condition will occur in the defined window and will move as new information arrives; for very short-duration markets, odds often react quickly to order-book imbalances, news, and large trades.
Resolution depends on the market's settlement rules: typically, the event resolves as successful if the chosen reference price for ETH reaches or exceeds $2,116.21 at any time during the defined 15-minute interval. Consult the specific event description on KALSHI for the exact settlement definition and reference price source.
The start and end times are specified on the event page; because the market currently lists 'Closes: TBD', check the KALSHI event details for the scheduled window and time zone before trading so you know which 15-minute period will determine settlement.
KALSHI follows its published settlement methodology and reference price sources for each market. For short-duration windows they may use an exchange-weighted index, a specific exchange tick, or a similar defined feed — review the platform’s settlement rules on the event page to see which feed applies.
Zero or low volume indicates limited current liquidity, which can mean wider spreads and higher slippage if you place orders. Liquidity can change quickly, so monitor order-book depth and trade size relative to available liquidity before committing.
High-impact factors include major exchange order imbalances, large block trades or OTC fills reported on public feeds, sudden liquidations in derivatives markets, breaking crypto or macro news, and technical problems at major exchanges or price-feed providers — each can move ETH rapidly in a matter of minutes.