| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,076.09 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will trade at the $2,076.09 level during a specified 15-minute window. Short-duration price-target markets like this matter because they capture expectations about near-term volatility and order-flow events.
Ethereum price moves can be driven by macro news, exchange flows, derivatives liquidations, on‑chain activity and network events; minute‑scale moves often reflect sudden order imbalances or execution from large participants. KALSHI hosts this event format, which isolates a narrow time horizon and a precise price level to create a clear, time‑bound outcome.
Market prices here reflect the crowd’s evolving expectation that the target will be hit within the defined 15‑minute window; treat quoted prices as continuously updating summaries of that collective view rather than fixed forecasts.
It asks whether ETH will trade at the specified price level within the market’s defined 15‑minute period. Consult the market rules on KALSHI for the precise resolution condition (e.g., whether the price must be met or exceeded and which price field is used).
The 15‑minute window will be a contiguous block of time defined by the platform’s settlement rules (including timezone and exact start/end timestamps). The platform’s event description or rulebook will state how windows are aligned and which timestamps govern resolution.
The event page shows the close time as TBD; KALSHI will announce the market close and the settlement schedule. Settlement occurs after the platform confirms the official price feed and timestamp records used for resolution.
Resolution depends on the data source specified in the market rules—either a single exchange feed or a consolidated price feed. Check the event’s rule text on KALSHI for the designated price source and any tie‑breaking or aggregation procedures.
Time‑sensitive drivers include scheduled macro releases, exchange announcements, large transfers or trades by major holders, sudden liquidations in derivatives markets, and any exchange outages or feed anomalies that affect reported trade prices.