| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,075.67 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will meet a $2,075.67 price target within a designated 15-minute observation interval. It matters because short-window price targets capture brief, high-impact moves that traders and risk managers monitor for volatility and execution risk.
ETH is a liquid, globally traded digital asset whose price reacts to macroeconomic news, on-chain activity, derivatives flows, and exchange order books. Short intraday moves can be driven by scheduled announcements, large market orders, liquidations, or sudden changes in sentiment rather than long-term fundamentals. Market structure (liquidity, venue fragmentation) and protocol-specific events can amplify short-term swings.
Prediction market odds reflect the market’s collective view of the likelihood that the event’s settlement criteria will be met during the defined 15-minute window; treat odds as a real-time summary of market expectations, not an exact forecast of future fundamentals.
The target is evaluated against the settlement price defined in the event terms; if the published price during the specified 15-minute observation period satisfies the contract’s condition (as set out in Kalshi’s settlement rules), the outcome is considered met.
Kalshi will specify the exact timing and any announcement protocol on the event page or in the contract details; check the market page and settlement documentation for the official schedule and any updates.
The event’s settlement documentation lists the authoritative price source (a specific exchange, aggregated index, or Kalshi’s defined feed); consult the event page or settlement rules to identify that source before trading.
Kalshi’s contingency and settlement policies govern disruptions: they may use alternative feeds, apply backup procedures, or follow a predefined dispute/resolution process—refer to the platform’s settlement rules for the exact contingencies.
Monitor the event page for updates on scheduling, track real-time ETH liquidity and order book depth on major venues, watch for scheduled news or protocol events that could affect timing, and be mindful that position sizing should reflect the high short-term volatility implied by a 15-minute target.