| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,070.81 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will meet the $2,070.81 price target within a designated 15-minute interval; it matters because very short time-frame events test immediate market liquidity and trader expectations. Traders use these events to express views about intraday price moves and microstructure-driven outcomes.
Ether is commonly subject to rapid intraday swings driven by macro news, large orders, derivatives flows, and on-chain activity; a 15-minute window emphasizes those high-frequency drivers rather than longer-term fundamentals. Short-window markets can be affected by exchange-specific prints, temporary liquidity vacuums, or single large trades that briefly move prices. Because the market closes and resolves based on a narrowly defined interval, timing and the exact price source matter more than in longer-duration questions.
Market prices on this event reflect collective trader expectations about whether that price will be reached during the specified interval and will change as new information or orders arrive. Expect higher volatility in market prices for short-duration events, since they react to immediate order flow and news.
The 15-minute window is the consecutive interval specified in the event's rules on the KALSHI page; the market will only consider price activity within that precise interval for resolution, so check the event description for the scheduled start or how the window is determined.
Resolution uses the reference price feed or exchange(s) named in the market's resolution rules on KALSHI; different markets use single-exchange prints, aggregated indices, or official feeder quotes—consult the event page for the authoritative source.
Whether a single trade counts depends on the event's definition of a qualifying print (e.g., trade price vs. aggregated minute bar); review the market's resolution criteria to see if a single trade, quote, or an averaged price is required.
KALSHI applies contingency and dispute procedures specified in the market rules; if a reference feed is compromised, the operator will follow those procedures (which may include using backup feeds or opening a review) — check the event page for specific contingency language.
'Closes: TBD' means the final scheduling for trading or market close has not been posted yet; once KALSHI sets the timetable, the event will follow the posted trading window and then resolve after the named 15-minute interval per the event's settlement rules, so monitor the event page for updates.