| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,065.87 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will reach the specified $2,065.87 price level within a defined 15‑minute measurement window. Short‑interval contracts like this matter because they let traders express views on immediate price moves and can react quickly to breaking news or order‑flow shifts.
Ethereum is a highly liquid, continuously traded crypto asset whose minute‑to‑minute price can be driven by exchange order books, derivatives flows, and on‑chain activity. Fifteen‑minute target markets are commonly used by short‑term traders and arbitrageurs to trade around scheduled events, liquidity imbalances, or sudden news; outcomes often hinge on microstructure and timing rather than longer‑term fundamentals. The event source (KALSHI) sets the precise measurement and settlement rules for resolution.
Market odds reflect the aggregate expectations of participants at a given moment and move as new information arrives; they are not guarantees. Treat quoted odds as a live summary of sentiment and available liquidity, and consult the event rules to understand exactly how the contract will be settled.
Resolution depends on the market's published settlement rule: typically an official reference price or composite index measured over the specified 15‑minute window. Consult the event's resolution details on the platform to see the exact data source and condition (for example, whether meeting or exceeding the target counts as a win).
The start and end timestamps for the 15‑minute window are set by the platform (KALSHI) and will be listed on the event page once finalized; 'Closes: TBD' means trading or the defined window has not yet been scheduled, so wait for the platform to publish the official timing.
Handling of exact-equality cases depends on the market's resolution rule (for example, some contracts require price to be strictly above the target while others treat equality as meeting the target). Check the event resolution language on the platform to know which rule applies.
Yes: zero or low volume indicates limited liquidity and that current market odds are based on little trading activity, making them more sensitive to single trades and less reflective of broad consensus; low volume also increases execution and slippage risk for participants.
Monitor live order books and trade prints on major exchanges, short‑interval price charts (1–5 minute candles), funding rates and derivatives open interest, large on‑chain transfers or exchange inflows/outflows, and any breaking news or scheduled events that could trigger rapid price moves.