| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,065.31 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ethereum (ETH) will reach the specified price level ($2,065.31) during a defined 15-minute observation period; short intraday targets matter because they capture immediate liquidity, volatility, and sentiment dynamics.
Short-duration price targets are designed to isolate very short-term moves rather than longer-term trends. Intraday ETH behavior is often driven by exchange order flow, concentrated trades by large holders, derivatives liquidations, macro headlines, and on-chain events such as large transfers or protocol updates.
Market prices here represent the collective view of traders about whether the price target will be met during the 15-minute window; those prices update in real time as new information emerges and as participants adjust exposure.
A target is considered met if the official settlement price feed specified in the event rules records the price at or equal to $2,065.31 within the defined 15-minute observation window; the event rules on KALSHI define the exact settlement source and matching criteria.
The precise start and end times for the 15-minute observation window are listed on the market page and in the event rules; because the market currently shows 'Closes: TBD', those times will be published by KALSHI prior to market settlement.
KALSHI specifies the reference exchange(s) or index used for settlement in the event’s official rules; consult the market’s settlement/source section to see the exact feeds and any consolidation rules.
Settlement procedures — including how conflicting ticks, timestamps, and cross-exchange differences are resolved — are governed by the market’s settlement rules on KALSHI; those rules explain tie-breakers, timestamp conventions, and which quote types are considered.
Monitor live spot prices and order books on major exchanges, derivatives open interest and liquidation feeds, on-chain transfer monitors for large wallet movements, and breaking news or scheduled announcements near the observation window; set alerts for rapid changes in depth or price to capture short-window moves.