| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,062.66 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will reach the price target of $2,062.66 within a defined 15-minute measurement interval; it matters because short-interval targets test near-term price dynamics and liquidity. The market is listed on KALSHI and, at publication, shows no trading volume, so liquidity may be limited.
ETH is typically subject to rapid intraday swings driven by crypto-specific news, macroeconomic releases, and order-book dynamics; 15-minute targets are especially sensitive to momentary spikes or gaps. Events such as major economic data, central bank remarks, large on-chain transfers, exchange outages, or derivative expiries can all create outsized moves within short windows. Markets with a TBD close time mean traders should watch the event page for official timing and settlement rules before participating.
Prediction market odds here reflect traders' collective expectations about whether that 15-minute condition will be met and will update as new information and orders arrive. Because the outcome depends on a short time frame and specific price feed/settlement rules, odds can move rapidly and are influenced by liquidity and the platform's resolution methodology.
A successful outcome is defined by whether ETH trades at or beyond the specified price level within the event's designated 15-minute measurement period, as determined by the resolution source and rules listed on the KALSHI event page.
The official close time and the exact 15-minute measurement window will be declared on the KALSHI market page; traders should monitor that page for the announced timing and any subsequent updates because resolution depends on the platform's posted schedule.
KALSHI specifies its resolution feed and sources in the market's rules; check the event details for the named reference source (e.g., a consolidated index or specific exchange feeds) because the chosen feed determines what recorded trades count for settlement.
In a short window, thin order books or a single large market order can momentarily push the observable trade price past the target; such transitory moves count if the resolution feed records them, so liquidity and order-book depth materially affect outcome risk.
Historically, very short-duration targets are highly sensitive to intraday volatility and event risk; outcomes often hinge on brief, information-driven spikes or microstructure effects, making these markets more unpredictable and sensitive to trade timing and settlement rules than longer-horizon bets.