| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,061.33 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will meet the $2,061.33 price target within a specific 15-minute measurement window. Short-interval targets matter because they capture intraday spikes or crashes that longer-window markets can miss.
ETH is a highly traded and liquid cryptocurrency whose intraday price can move quickly in response to order flow, macroeconomic news, and on-chain events. A 15-minute market focuses attention on microstructure factors—liquidity, exchange spreads, and algorithmic trading—that drive very short-term moves. Historical intraday behavior shows greater variance over 15-minute slices than over daily periods, so outcomes can flip rapidly.
Market odds aggregate traders' views about whether ETH will hit the stated level during the specified 15-minute window; they update as new information arrives. Because volume and liquidity can be low in short-interval markets, quoted odds may be volatile and sensitive to individual trades.
It indicates the event’s outcome is measured over a specific 15-minute time window. The event page and settlement rules will state whether the price used is an instant quote at a timestamp, an average across the window, or another defined metric—check those rules for the exact method.
Resolution follows the event’s official rules on KALSHI, which specify the price feed or exchange index, the exact timestamp or window for measurement, and the criterion for meeting the $2,061.33 target. Always consult the event’s settlement language for authoritative details.
The close and settlement timing are listed as TBD for this event; KALSHI will update the market page with the scheduled measurement window and final settlement timing when available. Settlement typically occurs after the specified 15-minute window and any data verification steps.
Zero reported volume means no trades have occurred yet, which implies limited liquidity and that current quotes (if any) may not reflect broad market views. Low-volume short-interval markets can move dramatically on small orders, so treat early prices with caution.
Events that can trigger a 15-minute price move include large exchange order executions or block trades, sudden on-chain transfers to/from exchanges, major macroeconomic releases or central bank commentary coinciding with the window, exchange outages or data-feed anomalies, and large forced liquidations in leveraged derivatives markets.