| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,059.08 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will hit the $2,059.08 price target during a specific 15-minute window on KALSHI. It matters to traders and hedgers who need to manage or speculate on very short-term ETH price moves.
Ethereum is one of the largest cryptocurrencies and can show sizable intraday moves driven by liquidity, news, and derivatives activity. Fifteen-minute target markets focus on minute-level price action and therefore amplify the importance of data-source definitions, exact timestamps, and exchange liquidity. Because resolution depends on the platform's reference price and timing rules, understanding those mechanics is key to interpreting outcomes.
Market prices reflect the collective view of participants about the likelihood of the target being reached and change as new information arrives. They are not guarantees; they are tradable expressions of current sentiment and liquidity conditions.
KALSHI defines a start and end time for the 15-minute window and uses a specified reference price feed at or within that window; check the market page and KALSHI's rulebook for the precise timestamping and any rounding conventions.
Resolution depends on whether the reference price feed reaches or exceeds the $2,059.08 threshold at any point within the stated 15-minute period according to KALSHI's deployment of its price source and resolution rules.
The market's close and official resolution time will be posted on the event page on KALSHI; if 'Closes: TBD' is shown, monitor the market for updates or platform announcements that set the final schedule.
Low volume typically means lower liquidity and wider spreads, so individual trades can have outsized impact on market price and it may be harder to enter or exit positions at expected levels without significant slippage.
Rapid moves in a 15-minute span are most commonly caused by large exchange orders, sudden news (exchange hacks, regulatory rulings, or macro shocks), major liquidations in derivatives markets, or technical incidents that disrupt liquidity.