| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,055.87 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will meet the $2,055.87 price threshold within a defined 15-minute measurement interval. It matters to short-term traders and risk managers who want a binary payoff tied to an intraday price move.
Ether is a liquid but volatile crypto asset whose short-term moves are driven by order-flow, liquidity, macro news, and on‑chain events. Fifteen‑minute targets capture flash moves and intraday volatility that longer-dated markets do not, so these contracts are sensitive to minute-by-minute market structure and exchange microstructure. Settlement and the exact measurement method are set by the market rules on the platform.
Market prices on the platform aggregate participants' views about the likelihood of the specified 15‑minute outcome and incorporate available public information and liquidity. To interpret them for trading or hedging, combine the market price with knowledge of settlement rules, fees, and your own execution risk tolerance.
The market's rulebook defines the 15-minute measurement: it may refer to a single continuous 15-minute interval, a 15-minute VWAP, or the high/close within that interval. Consult the event's official settlement description on the platform to see which definition applies.
The market listing or event page specifies the measurement start time and the market close; since the event shows 'Closes: TBD', you should monitor the market page for the announced window or any updates from the platform before trading.
Settlement uses the reference data source named in the market rules (a specific exchange, aggregated feed, or platform-defined oracle). Check the event's settlement specification to identify the exact feed and timestamp conventions.
Whether a brief touch counts depends on the settlement methodology (e.g., tick-level high, minute bars, or VWAP). The outcome is determined strictly by the measurement rule in the market's documentation, so verify whether transient ticks are sufficient.
Use position size to match the portion of your exposure you want to hedge for that specific 15-minute window, account for execution costs and liquidity, and be mindful of the market's settlement feed and timing so your hedge aligns with the exposure window you need to protect.