| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,055.80 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will trade at the specified target price of $2,055.80 during a single 15-minute settlement window. It matters because it lets traders express views on very short-term ETH price moves and capture reactions to minute-by-minute market events.
Ether is a high-liquidity but highly volatile crypto asset; minute-level markets can move quickly in response to macro data, exchange order flow, large spot or derivatives liquidations, or major crypto-specific news. Short time-frame targets like a 15-minute window emphasize microstructure — where liquidity, market-making activity, and algorithmic trading often determine whether a brief price touch occurs.
Prediction market odds reflect the collective assessment of whether that specific 15-minute event will occur and will update as new information arrives; they should be read as a market-implied view, not a guaranteed outcome.
Resolution generally requires a trade at or above the stated price (or the precise rule specified by the market) to print on the reference price feed within the defined 15-minute settlement window. Consult the market's official resolution rules on the KALSHI page for the definitive criteria and any tie-breaker rules.
The market creator or exchange sets the specific 15-minute window and posts it on the market page; if the window is not yet listed (Closes: TBD), watch the market page for announcement of the exact start and end times and the time zone used for settlement.
KALSHI markets reference specific price feeds or exchanges for settlement — the market page or documentation lists the authoritative source. If multiple sources exist, consult the official rules for how the reference price is determined.
Most platforms have dispute and force-majeure procedures; if an official price feed is unavailable or corrupted during the window, KALSHI's market rules will describe alternate feeds, delays, or cancellation processes. Traders should review those terms before participating.
Monitor order book depth on major venues, derivatives funding and open interest shifts, large visible orders or block trades, scheduled macro/news events, and on-chain indicators for sudden flow changes; because the window is short, rapid execution and awareness of exchange spreads and fees are also critical.