| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,051.85 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will reach the $2,051.85 price level within a specific 15‑minute interval as defined by the contract. Short, time‑boxed price targets matter because they test near‑term liquidity, momentum, and immediate news impact.
Ethereum price moves are driven by a mix of on‑chain flows, centralized exchange order books, derivatives positioning, macro risk sentiment, and news about the protocol or broader crypto ecosystem. A 15‑minute target isolates short‑term dynamics: intra‑day technical levels, liquidity pockets, and high‑frequency trading often matter more than long‑term fundamentals. Because the contract closes on a tight window, resolution depends heavily on the exact timestamp and the official price feed specified by the platform.
Market odds on this contract represent traders' pooled expectations about whether ETH will meet the $2,051.85 threshold during the defined 15‑minute window; they will move as new information, order flow, or liquidity changes arrive and can be especially volatile in short‑timeframe markets.
Resolution depends on whether ETH reaches the specified $2,051.85 threshold within the contract's defined 15‑minute interval, using the official price source and timestamp rules published by the platform; review the contract terms on KALSHI for the precise feed and tie‑breaking rules.
The contract must specify the exact start and end timestamps (typically in UTC); because the event currently lists 'Closes: TBD', traders should wait for KALSHI to publish the scheduled interval before trading or assume the platform will post the resolution window in the market details.
That depends on the contract's resolution feed: some short‑window contracts use a consolidated index or specific exchange quotes, while others use a reported trade print from a named venue; the contract documentation on KALSHI will state which method is authoritative.
If the designated price feed experiences outages or delays during the interval, the platform's resolution rules typically define fallback procedures (alternate feeds or post‑event adjudication); such technical issues can delay settlement or change which data points determine the outcome.
High‑frequency traders, market‑making desks, large spot holders or 'whales', and forced sellers or buyers from derivatives liquidations can all produce rapid moves in a short window; institutional flow or coordinated order placement around the interval can also have outsized impact.