| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,049.80 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether ETH will meet or cross the $2,049.80 price level during a defined 15-minute interval. It matters because short-window price targets capture volatility and trader expectations around immediate price moves.
The event sits within cryptocurrency spot and derivatives trading dynamics, where minute-level price action can be driven by order flow, news, and liquidity imbalances. Historical ETH movements show that brief intraday swings can be large relative to other asset classes, so 15-minute targets are often influenced by concentrated orders or rapid news releases. Markets like this aggregate many traders' views into a single tradable instrument.
Market prices on this contract reflect aggregated trader expectations and change in real time as participants buy and sell. Use the contract price and order book as a live signal of market sentiment for this specific 15-minute target rather than a fixed forecast.
It denotes a contract tied to whether Ethereum's published price will meet or cross $2,049.80 within a specified 15-minute settlement window; the platform defines the precise settlement source and timing used to evaluate the outcome.
Settlement is performed using the price source and methodology specified by the exchange for this contract — check the market’s rules on KALSHI for the exact reference exchange, time-stamping method, and any averaging or snapshot rules used in settlement.
The market close and the specific 15-minute settlement window are listed on the market page; if the close is marked TBD, monitor the KALSHI interface or announcements for an updated timestamp before trading or relying on the outcome.
Outcome treatment depends on the platform’s settlement rule (e.g., whether it uses continuous trade feeds, quoted prices, or averaged ticks); consult the market’s settlement specification to see whether an instantaneous touch qualifies as meeting the target.
The market’s resolution policy will describe fallback procedures for missing or unreliable data (such as alternate feeds or dispute windows); traders should review those policies before participating, since technical incidents can change how the event is settled.