| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,047.62 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This contract asks whether Ether (ETH) will be at the $2,047.62 price level at the contract's specified 15‑minute snapshot. It matters for traders and hedgers who want to express or protect short‑term views on ETH's price within a very narrow time window.
A 15‑minute target market isolates ultra short‑term price moves and is driven more by intraday order flow and liquidity than by long‑term fundamentals. On such short horizons, routine factors like exchange order‑book imbalances, scheduled news, or large block trades can move the snapshot price quickly. The market is listed on KALSHI, so official resolution and data sourcing follow that platform's published rules.
Market prices in this contract represent the consensus of participating traders about the chance of the target being met at the specified snapshot; because the timeframe is very short, prices can shift abruptly as new orders and data arrive. Treat odds as a live indicator of market sentiment and liquidity rather than a static forecast.
Resolution follows the event rules published by KALSHI for this contract: the platform will use a specific reference price and timestamp to check ETH's price at the defined 15‑minute snapshot. Consult the KALSHI event page for the precise resolution criteria and any tie‑breaking rules.
The contract resolves at the snapshot time defined in the event details; if the page shows 'TBD' for close, the market may still be open for trading until the issuer sets or publishes the final snapshot schedule. Monitor the KALSHI event page for the official resolution timestamp and any updates.
Because the window is short, concentrated order flow (large market trades), rapid price momentum from algorithmic traders, or a news release during or immediately before the snapshot are the most likely catalysts to move the snapshot price across the target level.
The precise data sources used for resolution are specified by KALSHI on the event page or in its contract rules; those may include an index or a set of exchanges. Check the event's official documentation to see which feed/exchanges and timestamp conventions are used for settlement.
Use historical 15‑minute realized volatility, typical intraday ranges, and order‑book depth around similar hours to assess how likely rapid moves are, but remember past intraday patterns do not guarantee future short‑term movements and platform resolution details (feed and timestamp) frame the actual outcome.