| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,047.30 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will reach the price target of $2,047.30 within a specified 15-minute interval. It matters because short, time-bound price moves capture intraday volatility and let traders express views or hedge around high-frequency market events.
Ethereum price behavior over 15-minute windows is driven by a combination of exchange order flow, derivatives activity, and news-sensitive liquidity; such micro-moves can be caused by large trades, scheduled macro releases, or crypto‑specific announcements. The market is hosted on KALSHI and shows no settled close time on the event page, so settlement mechanics and the exact observation window should be read in the market rules.
Market odds reflect the consensus of traders about whether ETH will hit the $2,047.30 target during the defined 15-minute measurement period; treat odds as an aggregated market-implied view conditioned on available information and liquidity rather than a deterministic forecast.
The event measures a contiguous 15-minute observation period as specified in the market rules; the precise start and end timestamp conventions (e.g., aligned to clock minutes or determined by a trigger) and whether multiple windows are eligible are defined by KALSHI's settlement documentation for this market.
Settlement will rely on the price feed(s) and methodology described on the event page and KALSHI's market rules—this typically names an exchange, aggregated index, or data vendor; check those official details to know exactly which source governs this market.
Whether a single trade qualifies depends on the settlement rule (e.g., whether settlement uses trade prints, mid‑quotes, or aggregated minute bars); consult the market's settlement criteria to see how momentary touches are treated for this particular event.
KALSHI's force majeure and data‑availability provisions in the market rules govern disruptions—typical remedies include using fallback feeds, adjusting the observation window, or postponing settlement; review those clauses for this market to understand contingency procedures.
The event page currently lists the close time as TBD; KALSHI will update the market with a definitive close and publish the observation window and settlement outcome according to its announcement channels—monitor the market page and platform notifications for official timing and settlement notices.