| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,045.64 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will hit the $2,045.64 price target within a specific 15-minute measurement period. Short-duration targets matter to traders because they capture immediate liquidity, order flow, and reaction to news.
Short, fixed-length windows (15 minutes) are used to create discrete, quickly-resolving propositions that reflect intraday volatility rather than longer-term trends. ETH price behavior in such windows depends on exchange liquidity, large trades, derivatives activity, and breaking macro or crypto-specific headlines. Settlement mechanics — including the exact price source and timing — are defined by the market contract on the platform.
Market prices/odds aggregate participants' views and risk preferences about whether the target will be met during the 15-minute window; they reflect available information and liquidity rather than a guaranteed prediction.
It denotes a single 15-minute interval used to check whether ETH reaches the specified price; the contract or event page defines the precise start and end timestamps that determine that interval.
The event will be settled according to the price source and aggregation method laid out in the market contract on the platform; check the KALSHI event details for the official settlement feed and rules.
Rapid, large buy or sell orders, concentrated on-exchange flows, derivatives-driven liquidations, or immediate reaction to breaking news are the primary drivers that can push price through short-term targets.
Review intraday 15-minute OHLC bars, check how often similar price levels were breached in comparable windows, and examine realized short-term volatility and volume patterns; historical frequency helps frame plausibility but does not guarantee outcomes.
The close time is listed on the event page; for this market it's currently TBD — monitor the KALSHI event page and any platform notifications for updates on opening/closing, trading volume, and settlement announcements.