| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,044.64 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the USD price of Ether (ETH) will meet a specified $2,044.64 target as measured over a 15-minute settlement interval. It matters because short-interval price targets capture rapid market moves and are useful for traders and observers who track intraday volatility or event-driven risk.
Ethereum (ETH) is a highly liquid, globally traded cryptocurrency whose price moves on exchanges, OTC desks, and decentralized venues. Short-duration targets like a 15-minute snapshot are sensitive to order-flow, liquidity depth, large trades, and news events rather than long-term fundamentals. Markets of this type are often used to express views on immediate price action around scheduled events, macro data releases, or sudden liquidity shifts.
Prediction market prices reflect collective market expectations about whether the settlement condition will be met at the specified measurement; interpret them as a real-time consensus signal about the likelihood of the target occurring rather than a guarantee. Always check the market’s official resolution rules for exact settlement mechanics before trading.
It means settlement will depend on the ETH/USD price measured according to the market’s specified 15-minute method—typically a snapshot or defined interval—and whether that measurement meets the contract’s target condition. Consult the event’s official resolution rules on the market page for the precise timing and measurement definition.
The close and exact resolution timestamp are listed on the market page as TBD; once the organizer sets a final close/resolution time, that timestamp and the resolution methodology determine which 15-minute interval is used. Always refer to the market details for the authoritative schedule.
The market will use the price feed or index specified in its resolution rules—this is often an aggregate of major spot exchanges or an established market data provider. Check the market’s settlement specification to see the exact sources and aggregation method.
Whether an exact match counts as a success depends on the contract’s defined inequality (e.g., strictly greater than, greater than or equal to). The market’s resolution rules will state how ties or boundary values are handled—review them before participating.
Extraordinary events are handled according to the market’s dispute and force-majeure clauses in the resolution rules; organizers typically specify alternate data sources or voiding procedures if the primary feed is unreliable during the measurement period. Read the market’s resolution and dispute policy for the exact process.