| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,042.08 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will meet the $2,042.08 price target as measured over a specified 15-minute observation period. It matters because short-interval price-target markets isolate near-term moves and can highlight immediate volatility and liquidity conditions in ETH markets.
Ethereum is a liquid, widely traded cryptocurrency whose short-term price is driven by a mix of on-chain activity, macro risk sentiment, and news flow. Historical behavior shows ETH can experience sharp moves on minutes-to-hours timescales due to liquidations, exchange order-book gaps, protocol announcements, or macro headlines. Markets of this type are commonly used to express views on immediate price action rather than long-term fundamentals.
Market prices on this event represent the collective, continuously updated view of traders about whether the 15-minute price condition will be met; they are a real-time consensus signal, not a certainty. Use them as an indicator of market sentiment and to compare how expectations shift with new information.
Resolution depends on the event's official definition on KALSHI: the rules will state whether the target must be reached at any point within the designated 15-minute window, at a specific timestamp within that window, or based on an aggregated price feed. Consult the event's resolution criteria on the KALSHI event page for the precise condition.
The event listing on KALSHI will show the scheduled observation window and the market close time; since this particular listing shows 'Closes: TBD', check the platform for updates or alerts from KALSHI announcing the exact timing.
The platform's event page specifies the official data source or index used for resolution. That source could be an aggregated index or a single exchange feed—verify the 'Price Source' or 'Resolution' section on the event page to know which one applies.
Zero or low trading volume indicates limited liquidity and participation; quotes may move sharply on small orders, and market-implied views can change rapidly with minimal trading. Treat low-volume prices as less robust signals and expect wider spreads and higher slippage.
KALSHI has predefined handling rules for data outages and market disruptions—these are described in the platform's resolution or force-majeure policy. In such cases, the platform may use an alternative data source, extend the observation window, or follow specified fallback procedures; check KALSHI's official rules for the applicable process.