| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,041.50 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will reach a price of $2,041.50 within a specific 15-minute measurement window. Short, intraday targets matter because they capture rapid price moves and are sensitive to immediate order flow and news.
Ether is a highly traded crypto asset whose short-term price is influenced by macroeconomic data, crypto-specific news, and on-chain activity. Over recent years ETH has shown episodes of rapid intraday moves around network upgrades, large exchange flows, and macro announcements, making very short windows especially reactive. Traders use short-interval markets like this to express views on minute-by-minute pressure rather than long-term fundamentals.
Market odds reflect traders' collective assessment of whether the target will be met during the defined 15-minute window and can change quickly as new information or order flow arrives. Always check the listing for the platform's exact settlement rules and timestamp definitions before interpreting market prices.
Settlement depends on the platform's definition: typically whether ETH's reference price reaches or exceeds $2,041.50 at any point during the specified 15-minute measurement window as reported by the chosen price feed. Consult the market's official rules on KALSHI for the precise settlement criteria and data source.
The market listing will specify the start timestamp for the 15-minute window; because this listing currently shows 'Closes: TBD', monitor the platform for the posted schedule and any updates. You can take positions only while the market is open—check KALSHI for the exact open and close times.
Whether a split-second print counts depends on the settlement method: a single trade print at that price may qualify under a trade-based feed, whereas an index or averaged feed might require sustained pricing or aggregated data. Review the market's settlement definition to see how fleeting touches are treated.
Platforms typically have contingency and dispute procedures for outages or anomalous data; these can include using alternate feeds, pausing settlement, or invoking official adjudication. Check KALSHI's dispute and force-majeure rules for the exact process that would apply to this market.
Large institutional trades, sudden retail flow surges, exchange order imbalances, liquidation cascades, and breaking news releases are common drivers of minute-scale price moves. Algorithmic and high-frequency traders can amplify those moves within a 15-minute window.