| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,037.54 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will reach the price target of $2,037.54 during a defined 15‑minute window; it matters because very short time‑frame price events capture sudden market moves and liquidity dynamics that longer horizons can miss.
Short‑interval price targets like this are used by traders to express views on immediate volatility, order‑flow shocks, or news reactions. Historically, ETH can move materially in minutes around catalysts such as macro announcements, major exchange flows, liquidations, or protocol events; conversely, high liquidity periods make such quick strikes less likely.
Market odds on this event reflect participants’ aggregation of available information about short‑term price dynamics and liquidity; they update as new trades, news, or order‑book changes arrive and should be read as the market’s current consensus expectation rather than a fixed prediction.
The event resolves based on a specific 15‑minute interval defined by the platform’s event page; the official start and end timestamps (UTC) for that interval will be shown by KALSHI and determine when price observations count.
Resolution uses the price source specified by the event (check the KALSHI event details). That source may be a particular exchange’s trade price or an aggregated index; the platform’s resolution rules define whether a trade, quote, or index reading qualifies.
If the close/resolution time is listed as TBD, KALSHI will publish the scheduled 15‑minute interval later; watch the event page or official platform announcements for the exact timestamp and any updates.
Treatment of boundary cases (exact equality at start or end) follows the platform’s detailed resolution rules; consult KALSHI’s event resolution documentation to see whether equality at an instant counts as a hit.
Yes — short windows are sensitive to isolated large trades, thin liquidity, or feed anomalies. Market participants should consider the risk of transient moves or data errors and review the chosen price source and any post‑event adjudication policies.