| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,036.93 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will be at a specified price level relative to a $2,036.93 target during a particular 15-minute timestamp. It matters because short-interval targets test immediate price dynamics and are sensitive to order flow, news, and oracle definitions used for resolution.
Ether regularly exhibits intraday volatility driven by crypto-specific flows (whales, exchanges, DeFi liquidations) and broader macro moves (Bitcoin direction, risk sentiment, rate announcements). Fifteen-minute resolution windows amplify the impact of short-term liquidity, exchange-specific ticks, and data-feed selection; historical intraday swings mean these short-window outcomes can flip quickly. Traders should be aware that platform rules and the chosen price source determine the authoritative result.
Market prices on this market represent the collective expectation of whether the $2,036.93 threshold will be met during the stated 15-minute interval; they update as new information arrives. Use prices as a real-time signal rather than a guarantee, and confirm the platform's resolution rules before acting.
The authoritative timestamp and price feed are defined in the event's official resolution rules on the KALSHI event page. Check that page to see whether resolution uses a single exchange, an aggregated index, and how the 15-minute window aligns to UTC or another time standard; if it is not specified there, contact KALSHI support for clarification.
'TBD' means the platform has not yet set a formal market close. Until the close time is posted, trading may remain open; the platform may announce a cutoff before the resolution window. Monitor the event page and platform notifications for the definitive trading deadline.
The event's resolution language specifies whether the outcome requires the reference price to be at or above, strictly above, at or below, etc., at the designated timestamp or averaged across the window. Read the event description on the platform to confirm the precise condition that constitutes a win.
Resolution procedures for outages or anomalies are governed by the platform's dispute and force-majeure rules. Typically, KALSHI will follow the predeclared hierarchy of data sources or invoke backup sources and may postpone resolution or open dispute processes if the official feed is compromised—review the platform's terms for specifics.
Short-interval targets with low initial volume can have wide effective spreads and high slippage for larger orders. Use smaller position sizes, prefer limit orders to control execution price, and be mindful that a single large trade or sudden news during the 15-minute window can materially change outcome chances.